On April 5, 2025, the San Siro Stadium in Milan will host a Serie A matchday 31 showdown between Milan and Fiorentina. I recommend placing a bet on goals in this exciting fixture.
Match Preview
Milan recently made a managerial change, swapping one Portuguese coach for another, and immediately claimed the Italian Super Cup under Sergio Conceicao. While the team showed promise early on, the new manager’s impact has worn off. Their elimination in the Champions League Round of 16 by Feyenoord raised doubts about Conceicao’s future at the club.
After 30 rounds, Milan sits 9th in the table with 47 points. They are 5 points behind the sixth spot, which qualifies for European competition, a gap that is still bridgeable, but the team’s current form makes this task more challenging. Since their exit from the Champions League, Milan has played six Serie A matches, winning just two and losing four. Despite their struggles, they’ve scored in every match, although they’ve conceded fewer than two goals in only one.
Fiorentina, just one position ahead of Milan in 8th place, holds a 4-point lead over their rivals. They are just one point away from the European spots and 5 points from the Champions League positions. This match is crucial for Fiorentina, as a loss would seriously damage their chances of qualifying for European competitions next season.
The Viola are also progressing in the Conference League, where they’ve reached the quarter-finals and will face Slovenian side Celje. Fiorentina comes into this match with confidence after three consecutive wins in Serie A, including victories over tough opponents like Atalanta and Juventus—though all these wins were at home.
Striker Moise Kean has been a standout performer for Fiorentina. Having previously played for Juventus, Everton, and PSG, Kean has found his best form at Fiorentina. This season, he has scored 21 goals and provided 4 assists across all competitions.
Probable Lineups
Milan: Maignan, Hernandez, Walker, Gabbia, Thiaw, Reijnders, Musah, Fofana, Leao, Pulisic, Jimenez
Fiorentina: De Gea, Pongracic, Mari, Ranieri, Dodo, Fagioli, Cataldi, Mandragora, Parisi, Gudmundsson, Moise Kean
Match Facts & Head-to-Head
- The “both teams to score” bet has hit in Milan’s last 8 matches.
- Fiorentina’s away form has been poor, with the team losing their last 4 away matches.
- However, the Viola have only failed to score once in their last 8 away games.
- The first-round match at Artemio Franchi was a thrilling encounter with three missed penalties, eight cards (including two red cards), and a 2-1 victory for Fiorentina.
- Milan has won the last 4 encounters at San Siro, with Fiorentina scoring only once in those matches.
Prediction
Given the attacking potential of both teams and their respective ambitions in the tournament, a bet on “Total over 2.5” at odds of 1.74 seems like a strong choice.
